In the 2018 technology trend, Japan's AI, AR, and VR will explode, and the smart speakers that are being re-entered by global technology leaders are regarded as revolutionary products that set off the next wave.
Japan, which values ​​fashion trends, always conducts "big predictions" every year at the beginning of the new year. In terms of technology, various media are unique in 2018 and are optimistic about the development of Smart Speakers.
Smart speakerKiller app that can use the mouth to surf the Internet
Smart speakers are considered a new digital product for the rear smart phone. Diamond Weekly analyzes the meaning of smart speakers by changing the user interface. When consumers use the terminal device, from the computer keyboard, to the computer icon, to the sliding phone screen, the next revolution is to directly direct the voice through the instructions.
In addition to the United States, Japan is also a battleground for smart speakers. At the end of 2017, Google's Google Home, Japan's LINE's Clova WAVE, and Amazon's Amazon's Amazon Echo came out in Japan. Users have proposed "OK Google", "Clova", "Alexa" and other wake-up words to tell the demand. AI (Artificial Intelligence) natural language processing technology can grasp the content, respond with voice or action, and pre-set the home. Lighting, cleaning and other functions. Among them, Amazon Echo has a market share of 70% in the United States, and is considered to be the best-selling product that will surpass the e-book Kindle.
"Dongyang Economic Weekly" pointed out that all technology companies are fully committed to the development of smart speakers, is hoping to grab the "last blank space" in the digital marketing market. Because smart phones allow people to spend more time online, but there are still times when they can't access the Internet, such as eating, driving, and doing housework. If you use voice, you can go online with one mouth. "Nikkei Trendy" believes that the first best-selling product in 2018 will be a smart speaker, because this machine can call out a number of AI functions, and can also ask experts to search for food, music and other issues. Now every family has a speaker. In the future, there may be one for everyone. When parents want their children to get up, they don't have to go to their room and they can get it with a speaker.
Of course, there are still many obstacles to overcome. At present, the most user response is that the accuracy of identification and response is not high enough. The development of a more natural dialogue technology will be a crucial year in 2018; and how this service is combined with revenue is the next step. If you can apply it to advertising earlier, you can expect to bring in income. Looking at the future, each family can only continue to invest in this war without regard to cost.
VR, ARNew machine price threshold is greatly reduced
The vocabulary of VR (Virtual Reality) and AR (Augmented Reality) began to appear frequently in our daily lives about two years ago. 2016 is considered to be the first year of VR, and AR is a gift of mobile games. The effect is widely known to many people, but the popularity of these two technologies in 2017 is very slow.
According to the survey, among the three leading brands of VR, the highest market share is Sony's VR device PlayStaTIon VR. At the end of 2017, the global cumulative shipments were about 2 million sets, followed by Facebook's Oculus Rift, and the third place was HTC. Vive. "Dongyang Economic Weekly" pointed out that the reason for the slow popularity is that the threshold of experience is too high, the VR device itself will be around 50,000 yen, and a high-performance personal computer or PS4 will be purchased.
Therefore, each company has developed new models. HTC launched the Vive Focus, a VR all-in-one that was scheduled to be launched in China in January 2018. It can be experienced for about RMB 4,000. Oculus also plans to launch the all-in-one Oculus Go in early 2018 for as little as $200.
In addition, the content is also the key. Most of the current users are those who like games and technology. After the developers cut prices, they also actively think about how to attract more ethnic groups, while avoiding the situation of dizziness.
In fact, AR and VR technologies still have a lot of application space. For example, the real estate industry allows customers to browse the inside before buying a house through VR. The retail industry displays physical stores in virtual space, so that consumers can even shop online. It seems to be the same as buying in the store. AR can be used to reinforce people's abilities, such as projecting road information, driving data, etc. on the windshield of the car, so that the driver does not have to move the line of sight and focus on the road ahead to improve safety. This head-up display (HUD) The popularity of this is due to the advancement of AR technology.
In addition, Magic Leap, which raised $2 billion from companies such as Google but did not launch any products, finally released the AR glasses Magic Leap One in December 2017 after its establishment seven years ago, claiming that the visual and sound effects are realistic, and not It is easy to produce dizziness, and the creator version is scheduled to be released in 2018. So this year is a year worth looking forward to AR and VR innovations, and the market size is expected to reach $120 billion in 2020.
AIA dream computer with super-computing will come out
In addition to smart speakers, AR, VR, AI is expected to be used in all walks of life in 2018, so that the market is expanding rapidly, and companies are expected to have more cooperation, such as industrial robots and medical industry, automotive-related operators in autonomous driving. Active cooperation, development of new technologies and new fields are also worth looking forward to.
The AI-specific semiconductor development competition will be more intense. In addition to the widely used nVidia graphics processing unit (GPU), Google has also developed a deep learning processor (DLU). Intel and Fujitsu do not allow nVidia to specialize in Before, separately developed AI-specific processors. Survey operator TracTIca predicts that the average annual growth rate of the AI ​​market will be approximately 57% from 2017 to 2025.
In addition, Nikkei Industry News also predicted the new technology in 2018. First, the commercialization experiment of quantum computers will be launched. A quantum computer called "Fantasy Computer" has a computing capacity of 100 million times that of existing computers. It is currently led by Canada's D-Wave system and IBM. However, Japan Telecom Telephone (NTT) and Fujitsu are not outdone, and are developing computers that use quantum mechanics. Starting in November 2017, the Japanese government launched the Quantum Neural Network (QNN) cloud system, which is open to the public to try out future technologies. Although there are still many topics for commercialization, such experiments will be more and more in the future.
Nikkei Industry News also predicts that the number of tailor-made products using the Internet of Things will increase significantly in 2018. Start Today, a Zozotown shopping site, launched the Zozosuit, a tight-fitting blouse that fits on the body. The suit is covered with sensors. After the consumer puts on it, the sensor can measure the size of the body in 15,000 places. The purpose of the development is to allow consumers to try on the network without having to actually try on it. clothes.
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